No. 23 seed Naomi Osaka will battle it out with No. 8 seed Amanda Anisimova for a place in the 2025 US Open final.
With the presence of Jessica Pegula in the opening semi-final, if Anisimova is to defeat Osaka, there is the possibility of an all American final at the Arthur Ashe Stadium if results go the right way.
Quick Naomi Osaka vs Amanda Anisimova betting tips
- Amanda Anisimova to win – 1/1 at SBK
- Over 23.5 games – 59/50 at BetMGM
- Naomi Osaka/Amanda Anisimova to win the match having saved Match Points – 40/1 Betfred
Naomi Osaka vs Amanda Anisimova odds
The bookmakers think this is set to be a close match. Naomi Osaka has looked like the Osaka of old at Flushing Meadows, and along with her two titles here, it could be why the bookies are just making her the favourite.
But it may be foolish to write off Anisimova after her win over Świątek. The American also defeated Aryna Sabalenka in the semi-final stage at Wimbledon, so she clearly knows how to win matches on the big stage. The latest Naomi Osaka vs Amanda Anisimova odds from the best betting sites are below:
- Naomi Osaka – 22/25
- Amanda Anisimova – 49/50
Odds provided by BetMGM are subject to change.
Naomi Osaka vs Amanda Anisimova: Head-to-Head and recent form
Naomi Osaka booked her place in the US Open semi-final with a high quality two-set victory over Karolina Muchova on Wednesday. Osaka eventually prevailed to win a tight match 6-4, 7-6 (7-3). This will be her first appearance in the last four since 2020.
Despite being the 23rd seed, Osaka has the pedigree to go all the way. She is a former world no.1 with four Grand Slam wins. Significantly, all four were achieved on hard courts, with wins at the Australian Open in 2019 and 2021, along with wins at Flushing Meadows in 2018 and 2020.
On her way to this year’s semi-final, as well as defeating Muchova, Osaka has also knocked out Greet Minnen, Hailey Baptiste, Daria Kasatkina and French Open champion Coco Gauff. Only Kasatkina has managed to take a set of the two-time US Open champion.
Osaka’s semi-final opponent will be American Amanda Anisimova. This will be Anisimova’s first appearance in her home Grand Slam semi-final, and her second successive semi after she also made the final of Wimbledon earlier in the year.
The Wimbledon final was a nightmare for Anisimova; she lost 6-0, 6-0 in the final to Iga Świątek.
Showing true grit and determination, it was Świątek that Anisimova defeated in the quarter-final at Flushing Meadows to clinch her place in the last four. Anisimova overcame her mental barrier and banished all her Wimbledon demons to defeat the no.2 seed Świątek in two sets (6-4, 6-3).
On her way to the semi-final, the 24-year-old American also defeated Jaqueline Cristian, Maya Joint, Laura Siegemund and Beatriz Haddad Maia. Only in her first round win over Jaqueline Cristian was Anisimova taken to three sets.
The two women have only met twice before, with Anisimova winning both matches. Both results were in 2022, with only one on hard court at the Australian Open. The match at Melbourne Park was extremely close and could have gone either way – Anisimova just edged it with a 4-6, 6-3, 7-6 (7-5) win.
Naomi Osaka vs Amanda Anisimova betting predictions and tips
This really could end up being one of the matches of the tournament. Japanese sensation Naomi Osaka has already beaten three seeds en-route to the last four, while Amanda Anisimova has put her demons to bed with a stunning victory over Iga Świątek. The match could go either way – our betting tips follow:
Amanda Anisimova to win
When matches look this tight, it could be wise to look for small margins when we pick our winner.
There is a small possibility that Amanada Anisimova played her final in her epic quarter-final win over Iga Świątek. However, it is also clear that the American has the game to win the tournament and her win over Świątek will only strengthen her self-belief and convince the beaten Wimbledon finalist that this is her time.
Anisimova also edged the only other hard court meeting between herself and Osaka, and she will also be backed by a home crowd.
For these reasons, we are backing Anisimova to win.
Back Amanda Anisimova to beat Naomi Osaka at even money with SBK
Over 23.5 games
We can see this match going to three sets and did consider tipping a 2-1 win for Amanda Anisimova at 13/4.
However, to give us more chances of winning, we are looking at over 23.5 games in the match at odds against.
Backing this outcome will cover a close three set match, no matter who wins. It will also cover a really tight two set match that finishes 7-5, 7-5, or with both sets decided by tie breaks.
Back over 23.5 games in the match at 59/50 with BetMGM
Naomi Osaka/Amanda Anisimova to win the match having saved Match Points
Lets go for a huge priced winner with Betfred for our final pick.
We have gone for Amanda Anisimova to win the match in our opening tip, but we are tipping both women in this market.
Betfred have priced both women at 40/1 to win the match, having saved a Match Point. This allows us to hedge our bets and back both Naomi Osaka and Amanda Anisimova in the same market.
Their only previous meeting on hard court at a Grand Slam went all the way to a third set tie break. There is every possibility that this match could do the same. If either woman wins after saving a match point, this bet pays big.
Back Naomi Osaka/Amanda Anisimova to win the match having saved Match Points at 40/1 with Betfred
How to watch the Naomi Osaka vs Amanda Anisimova match live
Live TV coverage of Naomi Osaka vs Amanda Anisimova will take place on the Sky Sports network in the early hours of Friday morning. For the latest US Open online news and expert daily betting tips, stick with us here at talkSPORT.
- Location: Billie Jean King National Tennis Center, New York, USA.
- Date and time: Friday 5th September, 1.10am.
- How to watch: Live on Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Tennis and Sky Sports UHD.
About the author
Dean Etheridge
Dean Etheridge is an experienced freelance sports betting writer who specialises in football, cricket, and darts, with a keen focus on the Premier League and Champions League, as well as in-depth coverage of Premier League Darts and major tournaments. He can turn his hand to all aspects of the beautiful game and beyond, delivering expert analysis across a range of sports. He predominantly covers the Premier League and Champions League but can turn his hand to all aspects of the beautiful game. You can follow Dean on LinkedIn (@deanetheridge)
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